United ready for challenge against MLS All-Stars

Soccer Betting Lines

07/27/2010 - Houston, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Manchester United has not been very impressive in its two exhibitions against Major League Soccer opponents, but veteran Ryan Giggs believes the English club "will be up for the challenge" against the MLS All-Stars on Wednesday night.

United started its North American preseason tour with a 3-1 win over Scottish rival Celtic but only edged the expansion Philadelphia Union, 1-0, and lost to the Kansas City Wizards, 2-1.

The English giants battle an MLS All-Star squad likely void of a number of its top players, including Landon Donovan, at Reliant Stadium in Houston, Texas at 8:30 p.m. (ET), but Giggs doesn't expect any less of a challenge.

"When you play for United, every game teams are motivated to beat you," Giggs said. "We have seen that in the first two games against American teams already and we don't expect anything different."

MLS All-Star coach Bruce Arena has major selection issues ahead of the match, as five MLS First XI players are likely going to be unavailable. Donovan and the rest of the Los Angeles Galaxy play a CONCACAF Champions League match one day before the All-Star game.

Donovan, MLS leading scorer Edson Buddle, Omar Gonzalez and Donovan Ricketts, who all play for Arena in L.A., will likely be unavailable if they participate against the Puerto Rico Islanders.

Toronto FC captain Dwayne De Rosario, third in MLS with eight goals, may play in the CONCACAF tournament as well and is another player Arena may not be able to use who was selected to the First XI.

"It's difficult to say," All-Star assistant Dominic Kinnear said. "You can't put the players' health at risk. I know the fans voted the players in and the fans want to see them play, but as far as the time on the field they spend, it's a big decision for Bruce."

Arena will still have a solid team, regardless of whether those five play, but will suffer offensively without United States star Donovan and Buddle. Donovan is first in MLS with 11 assists and has teamed with Buddle to lead L.A. to the best record in the league.

United boss Sir Alex Ferguson is also without a few of his top guns, including star striker Wayne Rooney and center back Rio Ferdinand.

Ferguson has veterans Giggs and Paul Scholes available, among others, and will also likely debut offseason addition Javier Hernandez.

Hernandez was signed just before the World Cup and he had a strong performance for Mexico in South Africa with two goals. He just joined United on Monday but Ferguson hopes to be able to use his new player for the first time.

"We want to try to integrate him into the team as quickly as possible," said Ferguson.

MLS has a great record against English opponents in the All-Star game, beating Chelsea, Fulham and West Ham, before falling to Everton in penalty kicks after a draw last season.

"It will be a tough challenge," Giggs said.

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Sportsbook Betting Lines

Who Makes the Sportsbook Betting Lines?

Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error.

“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said.

“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “

What are the Football Betting Lines Trying to Accomplish?

There is a common misconception that point spreads represent the oddsmakers’ prediction of how many points the favorite will win by. That is not the case at all – their intent is NOT to evenly split the ATS result between the teams; rather, their goal is to attract equal betting action on both sides. Stated another way, they want to create a line that half the people find appealing to bet one way while the other half find it appealing to bet the other way (known as ‘dividing the action’).

Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).

How the Opening Line Is Made

The opening line is the first line created by the oddsmakers, which is then sent out to sportsbooks. Of course there is an entire method to the madness on how the opening line is created. Seba explained that it all starts with each oddsmaker creating a line on each game based upon their own personal approach. This usually includes having up-to-date power ratings on each team.

Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades.

Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.

Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias.

The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.

A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line.

Why Sports Betting Lines Change

Once the opening line is released by LVSC, the individual sportsbooks decide if they want to make any adjustments before offering it to the public. Reasons for such adjustments include:

Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game

Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)

The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action.

Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.

For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite.

Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."

“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”

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